May 15, 2014

Large narcissus fly forecast

Narcissus fly emergence is likely to start soon in the south-west and central and eastern England:


Region

Forecast 10% emergence

Cornwall (Newquay)

19 May

Wellesbourne, Warwick

21 May

Norfolk (Norwich)

27 May

South Lincolnshire (Boston)

27 May

Scotland (Blairgowrie)

7 June


Once they have emerged, adult large narcissus flies need warm sunny days to mate and lay their eggs. Provided these conditions occur, egg laying will start 4-5 days after emergence at the earliest. Mating, and therefore egg-laying, will be delayed if air temperatures are lower than the activity threshold, which is close to 20oC. The period between egg-laying and egg hatching, after which the larvae invade bulbs, will be about 9-11 days depending on temperatures.


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