All entries for Thursday 10 March 2011
March 10, 2011
Yesterday, we try to make a decision by tools. A lot of tools, we choosed the decision tree first, but we have no decision after two hours working for it. Today we will go on.....
I was thinking.....when the business organizations make a decision, they use these tools?? Pehaps not. But perhaps they use the thought from "tools (DSS/ES/Risk) + technique (SSM) + system thinking (system1+system2) " =Decision. In fact, above methodology is still too complex.
If the situation is not complex, SWOT+RISK is enough;If the situation is complex, tools+technique+system thinking;
Lymington _cost 10 million, value (2015) 16 million, profit 6 million
Exmouth_cost 24 million, value(2015) 32 million, profit 8 million
Obviously, 6/10=0.6; 8/24=0.3 So, personally I choose Lymington, this proved yesterday' intuition is right. Of course, we need deeper research.
Oh, I try to like you tools, but why you do not like me ? Today, I will try to understand you, hope you understand me.....