April 20, 2012


The recent earth quake and tsunami warning in the south Pacific brought me back to late 2004,
where several hundred-thousands of lives were washed away by the giant waves.
At that time, Thailand did not have the slightest clue of that they could be potentially hit by tsunami so there was absolutely no warning system whatsoever.
After the event, several pundits came out, criticizing the government for not listening to their warning of the disaster.

Even if scenario planning was used whether the tsunami warning system should be implemented along the coast of Thailand, I was not sure of the outcome. For several centuries of recorded history, there's never been such phenomena.

How would a group of people come up with scenario that may or may not happen?
A good blend of knowledgable people in decision-making group? Creativity?

Given the fact that tsunami naver hit Thailand before, and no history data, how would anyone consider about preventing it?

- One comment Not publicly viewable

  1. Pinthida Thanatipanont

    well we could have first listened to the warnings, there actually WERE warnings. But Phuket governor thought it was gonna aversely affect tourism? Funny right? So he ‘muted’ all those warnings. Anyways, I think it was our culture that prevented proper scenario planning. Even if there was one, there is still a lack of tools, personel, etc..

    Don’t they usually just do some voodoo magic?

    20 Apr 2012, 21:31

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