All entries for Wednesday 01 October 2008

October 01, 2008

If you can't take a joke this winter….

I read that the Met Office have predicted that this winter will be mild and dry. Mainly because the last eight out of ten winters were mild and dry and the Met Office is probably hoping that the dice have a memory.

My (slightly tongue in cheek) prediction is that it will be a terrible winter, on a par with those in 1947/48 and 1962/63.

Here’s why:

Fate has a vicious sense of humour…

The economic downturn will cause increased poverty – historically recessions have followed bad winters. Well, we are beginning the recessive cycle right now;

Increased fuel prices have also historically caused bad winters, though possibly this is more to do with increasing energy costs causing recessions, but that might be getting in the way of a good argument;

Oversea military commitments have also caused bad winters; eg the 1947/48 freeze during the post world war occupation of Central Europe;

So…

With the national resources (and personal!) being stretched pretty thin right now, the situation is ripe for Fate to stick her oar in and give us a right rotten winter! And, if a half inch of snow these days is sufficient for the media to dig out the severe weather headlines, what sort of a disaster would be a few feet?


Economic comparisons

The US federal government wants to inject $700 billion dollars into their economy to sort out the mess…

compare with…

The GDP of Sweden last year was estimated at $455.3 billion

The Apollo project to get to the moon in the 1960s cost $25 billion, or, at today’s rate, about $279 billion.

According to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, the direct costs of the war on terror, which include operations in both Iraq and Afghanistan, have so far have reached $752bn, if the current year’s appropriation of $188bn is included.


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