October 16, 2007

Lib Dem leader quits.

The Lib Dem leader Menzies Cambell yesterday quit after pressure fromLib his party. Doubtlessly his age (66) and relatively low-key media style (i.e. boring) are big factors, coupled with the fact that many younger Lib Dems are hungry for the job.

Who will be the next leader? I think that it wouldn’t be unlikely to see the party take a swing to the right. Those Lib Dem MPs in Left wing constituencies will find an easier time to defend their seats in the next election as support for the Labour party falls. While those defending their seats in Right wing constituencies will find it harder to defend their seats to in the next election due to the increasing popularity of the Tories. Thus the right-wingers in the Lib Dems are likely to be galvanised and be a more active force then the left-wingers, due to the former having fear for their jobs while the latter not.

The FT says that a leading right-wing candidate for winning the leadership election is Nick Clegg. He is only 40, 26 years younger then Menzies Cambell. Plus he is 13 years younger then Chris Huhne, another leadership possibility. So perhaps he holds a good chance of being the next Lib Dem leader.

- One comment Not publicly viewable

  1. David Gilligan

    So despite the fact that the Lib Dems potential for electoral gain or at least consolidation would seem to lie in targetting disenfranchised Labour voters, they seem set on electing a ‘right wing’ leader. I guess Sir Ming was only ever a stop gap after the problems the Lib Dems had with their public image after Charles Kennedy and Mark Oaten.

    24 Oct 2007, 23:29

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